Professor Allan Lichtman Says Donald Trump Headed for Win on November 8th

Sounds good to me, heh.

At the Washington Post, "Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly" (via Memeorandum).

Here's Professor Lichtman's book, Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016.

RELATED: Professor Helmut Norpoth, who also has an outstanding prediction record, similarly pegs Trump to win in November. At BizPac, "Poll-predicting prof with stellar record says never mind the media, Trump’s going to win."

Ayaan, Heretic

It's a good time to re-up Ayaan Hirsi Ali.

At Amazon, Heretic: Why Islam Needs a Reformation Now.

Glenn Reynolds 'Planning on Quitting Twitter'

I just saw this, at Politico, "USA Today suspends columnist Glenn Reynolds for one month."

Instapundit's got the best column over at the newspaper. That'd be lame of he got canned, so obviously posting on Twitter's not going to be worth it.

Frankly, I quit for a week after Robert Stacy McCain's @RSMcCain got banned. I didn't miss it that much.

In any case, here's the Professor, "TWITTER HAS UNBLOCKED MY ACCOUNT ON CONDITION OF DELETING THE OFFENDING TWEET."

Also, "OPENED UP TWITTER TO SEE THIS..." Click through to see the offending tweet.

Frankly, it wasn't what he said. It's who he is. Leftists hate Glenn Reynolds and they want his scalp. The Internet's one big lynch mob and demonic fever-swamp progs seized a chance to destroy the Instapundit.

More at Zilla of the Resistance, "The Long Knives Are Out for @Instapundit – The Mob Demands He Lose His Job":

Leftists can use violent rhetoric and actual acts of violence against people with impunity, but a politically incorrect statement by a non-leftist MUST be punished, according to our self proclaimed moral superiors, so the “offended” will scream and howl until the target of their rage is utterly ruined.

USA Today published an apology from Reynolds along with a statement from the paper that his column has been suspended for a month, but in the comments section, predictably, there is screeching that he should also lose his job at the university where he works.

The University of Tennessee is now investigating the good professor.

The PC mob will not be satisfied until they have utterly destroyed a good man’s reputation and ability to make a living.

It's true. And all of that over a throwaway snarky tweet.

.@Instapundit Considering anarchy in #Charlotte last night, to "run them down" would be purely defensive. Screw the leftist speech police.

— Donald Douglas (@AmPowerBlog) September 22, 2016

Glenn Reynolds, @instapundit, has been reinstated. Deets at https://t.co/AUY3qZQGJc pic.twitter.com/lQ3xgCZx2g

— reason (@reason) September 22, 2016

(Longtime readers know that I've dealt with these lynch mobs myself and they're demonstrably evil. It's chilling too, but you can't back down. Fight these fuckers, even if you have to hire a lawyer. They'd murder you if they could get away with it, so watch your back. I do.)

'Between Two Ferns': Shrillary Clinton Trolls for Young Voters (VIDEO)

Following-up, "Shrillary."

At Bloomberg, "Hillary Clinton Goes ‘Between Two Ferns’ in Search of Young Voters."

She's clearly desperate to be liked:

Shrillary

I've been joking about Shrillary in my classes for years, but this video's a classic.

During the primary debates I had to hit the mute button she got so bad. I can barely stand to hear her voice sometimes. It's like a screech.

At Hot Air, "Hillary: ‘Why aren’t I 50 points ahead?’"

On YouTube as well, "IT'S OFFICIAL - Hillary Clinton Has Lost Her Mind - Yelling ‘Why aren’t I 50 points ahead?’."

Hat Tip: Ed Driscoll, at Instapundit, "IT’S DEJA DUKAKIS ALL OVER AGAIN!"

Presidential Horse Race Tightens in Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia

It's amazing that Colorado's in reach. Gary Johnson's pulling in ten percent there, mostly among young people I suspect, and that's hurting Hillary Clinton.

I'm not surprised about Virginia though. Terry McAuliffe took 48 percent to Ken Cuccinelli's 45 percent in the 2013 governor's race, with the third party candidate taking about 6 percent. Keep an eye on Old Dominion this year. I think Donald Trump'got a good chance. (Mostly, though, I'm keeping my fingers crossed for Pennsylvania. If the voters start breaking for Trump in the Keystone State, I think Hillary's fried.)

At Politico, "Swing-state polls: Trump leads in Iowa, narrows the gap in Colorado and Virginia."

Rioting May Tip Presidential Scales in Crucial North Carolina

Actually, I'm not getting my hopes up. North Carolina's an extremely leftist state.

But if these riots continue over the weekend, and perhaps beyond, then yes: undecided whites may shift over into the Trump column.

At Bloomberg (via Memorandum):

Riots threaten to sway a deadlocked presidential race in race-riven North Carolina by pushing enough undecided voters toward Republican Donald Trump to overcome Hillary Clinton’s lead among blacks.

The shooting of Keith Lamont Scott, 43, outside a Charlotte apartment complex was the third at police hands in less than a year in a swing state whose 15 electoral votes are crucial to White House hopes. The ensuing riots culminated a period of charged politics that began in 2013, when Republicans took over both the legislature and governor’s office for the first time in a century.

The state went for Democrat Barack Obama in 2008 and for Republican Mitt Romney in 2012. This year’s race has been a statistical tie for weeks between Trump, who has pushed a law-and-order platform, and Clinton, who has campaigned with the parents of black men shot by police. The contest remained a toss-up in the days leading up to Tuesday’s killing of Scott, according to a New York Times poll released today.

Democratic challengers were also polling even with or ahead of Republican incumbents Governor Pat McCrory and U.S. Senator Richard Burr, according to that poll and one released by Public Policy Polling on Wednesday.

Many voters -- between 10 and 12 percent of the electorate -- haven’t made up their minds on the presidential race, said Carter Wrenn, a Republican political consultant. “The undecideds have been staying undecided.”

More.

Tulsa Police Officer Betty Shelby Charged in Shooting of Unarmed Black Man (VIDEO)

Authorities says Terence Crutcher was unarmed.

At the Tulsa World, "Officer Betty Shelby charged with first-degree manslaughter in fatal shooting of Terence Crutcher":

The Tulsa County District Attorney's Office filed a first-degree manslaughter charge on Thursday against Officer Betty Shelby in the fatal shooting of Terence Crutcher last week.

District Attorney Steve Kunzweiler said during a brief press conference that a warrant has been issued for the arrest of Shelby, 42, who is expected to turn herself in to authorities.

Tulsa Police Chief Chuck Jordan said Monday that Crutcher, a 40-year-old father of four, was unarmed when Shelby shot him once in the upper right lung area next to his stopped SUV near 36th Street North and Lewis Avenue at 7:44 p.m. Sept. 16. He was pronounced dead at a hospital less than an hour later.

"The tragic circumstances surrounding the death of Mr. Crutcher are on the hearts and minds of many people in this community," Kunzweiler said at the press conference Thursday. "It is important to note that despite the heightened tensions felt by all — which seemingly beg for an emotional reaction — our community has consistently demonstrated a willingness to respect the judicial process. It is the shared responsibility of all who have the ability to control their actions to do just that."

The charges against Shelby are the second Kunzweiler has filed in less than two years against an officer who killed someone while on duty. His office filed a second-degree manslaughter charge against former Tulsa County Reserve Deputy Robert Bates in the April 2, 2015, shooting of Eric Harris during an undercover operation in north Tulsa.

Bates resigned from his post and was convicted in April of this year, receiving a four-year prison sentence.

Shelby faces one count of manslaughter committed in the heat of passion, or in the alternative while resisting a person's attempt to commit a crime. First-degree manslaughter carries a sentence of four years to life in Department of Corrections custody, according to Oklahoma law.

If convicted, Shelby would have to serve 85 percent of her sentence before becoming eligible for parole.

A probable cause affidavit in the case alleges that Shelby "acted unreasonably by escalating the situation from a confrontation with Mr. Crutcher, who was not responding to verbal commands and was walking away from her with his hands held up, becoming emotionally involved to the point that she overreacted."

The affidavit states she told Sgt. Dave Walker in a police interview that she was in fear for her life and thought Crutcher would kill her. Shelby reportedly told investigators she was yelling repeatedly for Crutcher to stop walking to his vehicle and get on his knees.

However, dash cam and police helicopter footage shows Crutcher walking to the SUV, which was stopped in the middle of 36th Street North, with his hands up while Shelby had a gun pointed at him. The videos show that at least three officers had either a gun or Taser drawn as Crutcher walked back to the SUV.

Shelby turned on her police car's rear flashing lights only when stopping to approach Crutcher, which meant her dash camera did not turn on, Sgt. Shane Tuell told reporters Monday.

Attorney Scott Wood, who has represented Shelby so far, said there are about two unrecorded minutes of interaction between Shelby and Crutcher.

Officer Tyler Turnbough reportedly told Shelby he had his Taser ready before deploying it about the same time Shelby fired her gun.

Shelby said in her interview that she saw Crutcher reach into the driver's side front window before she shot him. Lead investigator Doug Campbell wrote in the affidavit that the videos show that Crutcher's right hand is up and that his left hand is "unobservable" at the time he was shot...

More.

Plus, more video at KJRH News 2 Tulsa, "Tulsa police officer Betty Shelby charged with first degree manslaughter in death of Terence Crutcher."

Teaching Today: Buy Heather Mac Donald's, The War on Cops

Here's her book, The War on Cops: How the New Attack on Law and Order Makes Everyone Less Safe.

I'll be teaching all day. More blogging tonight.

Marion Cotillard Denies Romantic Affair with Brad Pitt

At Vanity Fair, "Marion Cotillard Responds to Rumored Brad Pitt Affair."

Here's her statement, posted on Instagram:

This is going to be my first and only reaction to the whirlwind news that broke 24 hours ago and that I was swept up into. I am not used to commenting on things like this nor taking them seriously but as this situation is spiraling and affecting people I love, I have to speak up. Firstly, many years ago, I met the man of my life, father of our son and of the baby we are expecting. He is my love, my best friend, the only one that I need. Secondly to those who have indicated that I am devastated, I am very well thank you. This crafted conversation isn't distressing. And to all the media and the haters who are quick to pass judgment, I sincerely wish you a swift recovery. Finally, I do very much wish that Angelina and Brad, both whom I deeply respect, will find peace in this very tumultuous moment.

With all my love, Marion

Trump Derangement Syndrome is Crippling the Left

From John Podhoretz, at the New York Post.

Get Ready for the Mother of All Corrections

From Jeremy Warner, at the Telegraph U.K., "Get ready for the mother of all stock market corrections once central banks cease their money printing."

A great piece.

Read it all at the link.

NYPD Opens Special Victims Investigation Into Anthony Weiner Sexting Allegations

Man, this dude needs to be institutionalized.

It's just not funny any more, seriously.

At London's Daily Mail, "EXCLUSIVE: NYPD Special Victims Unit launches investigation into Anthony Weiner after DailyMail.com reveals he had an on-line sexting relationship with 15-year-old girl" (via Memeorandum).

Breaking: Anthony Weiner carried on an online sexual relationship with a 15-year-old girl - https://t.co/vgFlmMMXZP

— Alana Goodman (@alanagoodman) September 21, 2016

Thanks to the Reader Who Picked Up Some Gillette Shave Cartridges Yesterday [BUMPED]

Thanks for shopping through my Amazon links. It's appreciated.

These are some nice blades, Gillette Mach3 Base Cartridges 15 Count.

Shop for books as well, folks, at the link.

Your purchases support my book habit at no extra cost to you. It's really cool and I'm always thankful.

Deal of the Day: Gorilla Carts Heavy-Duty Poly Yard Dump Cart

At Amazon, Gorilla Carts GOR6PS Heavy-Duty Poly Yard Dump Cart with 2-In-1 Convertible Handle, 1,200-Pound Capacity, Black.

Also, Gorilla Carts Heavy-Duty Steel Utility Cart with Removable Sides with a Capacity of 1000 lb, Gray.

More, Acer Aspire Switch 10 SW5-015-198P10.1-inch HD 2-in-1 Tablet & Laptop with Microsoft Office Mobile Apps.

Plus, CybertronPC Borg-Q Gaming Desktop - AMD FX-4130 3.8GHz Quad-Core, NVIDIA GeForce GT610, 8GB DDR3 Memory, 1TB HDD, DVD±RW, Microsoft Windows 10 Home 64-bit.

BONUS: Billy Idol, Dancing with Myself (New York Times bestselling autobiography).

Once Again: Heather Mac Donald, The War on Cops

I can't post this link enough.

This book is essential reading for this election season.

Be sure to get your copy, at Amazon, The War on Cops: How the New Attack on Law and Order Makes Everyone Less Safe.

Low-income Families Face Eviction to Make Way for Facebook Employees in Silicon Valley

You can see why I hate Mark Zuckerberg, him and the entire culture he represents.

Entitled spoiled leftists kicking hard-working Latinos out of their homes.

Hey, that's progressive values for you! Democrat values!

At Truth Revolt, "Liberal Leftist Hypocrites: Low-Income, Hispanic Residents of Silicon Valley Apartment Evicted to Make Room for Facebook Staff."

CNN Denies Reports Corey Lewandowski Booted from Network Over Trump Contract

Here's the buzz at Memeorandum, "BREAKING: Corey Lewandowski Suspended by CNN."

At at Heat Street, "CNN is denying reports that Corey Lewandowski has been suspended from his job at the network after FEC filings showed his consulting company pulling in $20,000 from the Trump campaign during July and August."

I actually like Lewandowski, but he shouldn't be having conflicts of interest.

Donald Trump Rally in High Point, North Carolina (VIDEO)

Watch, via ABC News 15 Phoenix, "FULL SPEECH: A Very Animated Donald Trump in High Point, N.C. Today (VIDEO)."

Also, at the Washington Times, "Donald Trump calls for unity after police shootings."

The situations in Tulsa and Charlotte are tragic. We must come together to make America safe again.

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 21, 2016

Kendall Jenner for Vogue Spain

At Egotastic!, "Kendall Jenner is Braless for Vogue Spain (VIDEO)."